Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
