Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.