Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.