SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
39.64% ( 0.02) | 28.66% ( -0.02) | 31.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% ( 0.05) | 61.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% ( 0.04) | 81.04% ( -0.04) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( 0.03) | 30.05% ( -0.04) |
