SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Huracan |
41.35% ( 1.77) | 27.89% ( -0.3) | 30.76% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( 0.71) | 58.62% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( 0.55) | 79.18% ( -0.55) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 1.34) | 27.9% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.49% ( 1.68) | 63.51% ( -1.68) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.69) | 34.63% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.65% ( -0.74) | 71.36% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | BelgranoBelgrano | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 13 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
| 14 | Platense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | TigreTigre | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 22 |
| 16 | Barracas Central | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 22 |
| 18 | Instituto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 20 |
| 19 | Racing ClubRacing | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 19 |
| 21 | ColonColon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 22 | IndependienteIndependiente | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 23 | HuracanHuracan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 24 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 25 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 26 | BanfieldBanfield | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 15 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 12 |
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