MX23RW : Saturday, August 13 20:54:39
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Jul 9, 2022 at 5pm UK at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Patronato
0 - 1
Arsenal

Leys (35'), Lozano (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kruspzky (45')
Navas (32'), Apaolaza (62'), Miloc (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Patronato
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Estudiantes
Monday, July 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Patronato 1-2 Arsenal Sarandi

Both of these teams find themselves in the bottom half of the table, and towards the bottom of the league which is why they will be putting plenty of pressure on this particular fixture to get back to winning ways. Despite the fact Patronato have the home advantage, the visitors have not lost in their previous five outings and that should be enough to push them through with momentum alone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawArsenal Sarandi
48.32% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 26.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)57.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)78.66% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.07% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)58.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)39.15% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.87% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 48.32%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.79%
    Draw 26.88%
PatronatoDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.79%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Patronato
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 3-1 Independiente
Monday, June 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Patronato
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 1-0 Aldosivi
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-0 Patronato
Friday, June 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Estudiantes
Monday, July 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Monday, June 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Talleres
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 3-3 Arsenal
Tuesday, June 14 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Banfield
Saturday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Argentine Primera Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing ClubRacing1486025101530
2River PlateRiver Plate1492331121929
3Defensa y JusticiaDefensa147432619725
4Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs147432116525
5GimnasiaGimnasia147342420424
6Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB147251715223
7Sarmiento146351724-721
8BanfieldBanfield145451815319
9UnionUnion145271113-217
10San Lorenzo143651517-215
11Atletico TucumanTucuman142571323-1011
12TalleresTalleres14329921-1211
13Platense142481223-1110
14PatronatoPatronato1431101025-1510
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