SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
54.02% ( -0.05) | 26.48% ( 0.02) | 19.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.03) | 61.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( -0.02) | 81.04% ( 0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.03) | 22.84% ( 0.03) |
