SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Estudiantes |
40.64% ( -0.07) | 29.12% ( 0.01) | 30.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.08% ( -0.02) | 62.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.59% ( -0.01) | 82.41% ( 0.02) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.05) | 30.4% ( 0.05) |
