Ghana will head into the game seeking an immediate response following their opening-day defeat at the hands of Morocco. We expect the Black Stars to throw the kitchen sink at Les Pantheres and come out with all three points to keep their AFCON campaign alive and kicking.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
