Cape Verde know that avoiding defeat here would put them in pole position to make it through to the last 16, while Burkina Faso will be desperate to come away with all three points. We expect a feisty and tense affair with both teams having to settle for a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
