The only realistic challenger to qualify for Europe from outside the Super Lig's top four, Alanyaspor will travel to Adana Demirspor hoping to keep their continental dream alive.
Maximum points between now and the end of the season will be needed for Alanyaspor if they are to bridge the gap to fourth, starting with Saturday evening's clash with Adana.
Match preview
Out of their hands, Alanyaspor will require dropped points from Istanbul Basaksehir if they are to squeeze into Turkey's final continental position.
Currently five points behind the former Super Lig champions, Alanyaspor have been left with next to no margin for error in their pursuit of European football.
Should they miss out, the blame may lie with their recent form, as Alanyaspor have won just one of their last four Super Lig fixtures.
In fact, their only win in the league since the beginning of April came last weekend when Alanyaspor muscled their way past bottom-placed and already-relegated Yeni Malatyaspor.
For Adana, they too had held hopes of European football, but a similar run of two league wins in their last nine matches extinguished any lasting ambition.
Instead, they enter the weekend eighth in the table, eight points behind fourth-placed Basaksehir and just three off opponents Alanyaspor.
On top of this, Adana's superior goal difference means they will leapfrog Alanyaspor with a victory on Saturday, while simultaneously ending their opponents European hopes.
In order to avoid that fate, Alanyaspor will need to do something that they have not managed since February 2015 and secure a league victory over Adana.
The hosts hold an impressive record over Alanyaspor, having lost none of their previous five meetings.
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Team News
Hopes of an Adana victory could rely on how many of their key players return from injury, with both Metehan Mimaroglu and Babajide David doubts for the clash.
Unlike his Adana teammates, former Tottenham Hotspur midfielder Benjamin Stambouli will not be available for the weekend clash, as he is nursing a muscle injury.
In contrast to Adana, Alanyaspor boast a full squad for the clash, with Nouha Dicko likely to be a certain starter for the visitors.
Dicko netted in the 2-1 win over Yeni Malatyaspor and the forward is expected to be joined in attack by Ghana international Benjamin Tetteh.
Adana Demirspor possible starting lineup:
Muric; Svensson, Akaydin, Sanuc, Rassoul; Inler, Kurt; Vargas, Bjarnason, Akgun; Assombalonga
Alanyaspor possible starting lineup:
Karagoz; Fuertes, Milunovic, Bayir, Borja; Bekiroglu, Akbaba, Novais; Candeias, Aydin, Eduardo
We say: Adana Demirspor 1-2 Alanyaspor
As long as Europe remains in the question, Alanyaspor will continue to fight for a continental berth.
While past results may have cost their chances, expect the side in fifth-placed to triumph over Adana this weekend.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Alanyaspor has a probability of 27.41% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline is Adana Demirspor 1-1 Alanyaspor with a probability of 11.3% and the second most likely scoreline is Adana Demirspor 2-1 Alanyaspor with a probability of 9.5%.
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