Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
