SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Colombia |
| 30.05% | 25.66% | 44.29% |
| Both teams to score 53.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% | 50.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% | 30.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.75% | 56.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Everton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Luton TownLuton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
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