Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niger would win this match.
