Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 50.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
