Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.