Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
