Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
