Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.
