The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup qualifier against Chile.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Brazil 3-1 Chile
Unlike Brazil, the pressure is on Chile to perform and claim maximum points in Rio de Janeiro on Thursday, if their hopes of qualification are to remain alive. The Selecao, however, are unbeaten in 14 international matches on home soil and as strong favourites, they should be able to get the job done against a spirited Chile outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chile had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Chile |
| 65.12% | 22.04% | 12.84% |
| Both teams to score 39.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
