Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
