Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
