Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
