Haverfordwest County 1-1 Connah's Quay Nomads - Welsh Premier League - October 2, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 2, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Fawcett (88')
Jones-Thomas (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morris (34' pen.)

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.22%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
12.88%	19.72%	67.4%

Both teams to score 46.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58%

46.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29%

68.7%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.53%

46.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.92%

82.08%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2%

12.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89%

39.11%

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 12.88%

Connah's Quay Nomads 67.38%

Draw 19.72%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 4.56% 2-1 @ 3.59% 2-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 0.94% 3-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.88%	1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.72%	0-2 @ 12.56% 0-1 @ 12.22% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 6.6% 0-4 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.89% Total : 67.38%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints New Saints	22	19	3	0	83	8	75	60
2	Connah's Quay Nomads Connah's Quay	22	13	5	4	33	14	19	44
3	Pen-y-Bont Pen-y-Bont	22	12	5	5	37	19	18	41
4	Cardiff MU Cardiff MU	22	13	2	7	29	29	0	41
5	Bala Town Bala Town	22	12	4	6	42	21	21	40
6	Newtown AFC Newtown	22	10	3	9	41	39	2	33
7	Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest	22	8	3	11	29	35	-6	27
8	Caernarfon Town Caernarfon	22	8	1	13	33	41	-8	25
9	Flint Town United Flint Town	22	6	6	10	24	37	-13	24
10	Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth	22	7	1	14	23	58	-35	22
11	Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd	22	6	2	14	22	42	-20	20
12	Airbus UK Broughton Airbus UK	22	0	1	21	13	66	-53	-2

Data Analysis

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