Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
