Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
