MX23RW : Saturday, October 29 20:00:30
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Saturday, October 29
Nov 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at Cyncoed Campus
Cardiff MU
0 - 1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (23')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
52.38%23.31%24.3%
Both teams to score 56.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85%44.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47%66.53%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14%16.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12%46.88%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68%32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53%68.47%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 52.38%
    Caernarfon Town 24.31%
    Draw 23.31%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.38%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.31%

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