Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
