Bala Town 3-0 Caernarfon Town - Welsh Premier League - February 4, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Friday, December 30

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Feb 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bala Town

3 - 0

Caernarfon

Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
48.56%	23.07%	28.37%

Both teams to score 61.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37%

39.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.02%

61.98%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.63%

46.37%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44%

26.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22%

61.78%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 48.56%

Caernarfon Town 28.37%

Draw 23.07%

Bala Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.56%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.37%