Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
