Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
