Aug 12, 2022 at 11pm UK at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi
Plaza Colonia
2 - 0
Cerro Largo
Quintana (33' pen., 58')
Guirin (68'), Quintana (75'), Kidd (75'), Barrandeguy (82'),
Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garcia (23'), Correa (32'), (67')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Cerro Largo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.
| Result |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerro Largo |
41.44% ( 0.21) | 29.73% ( 0.01) | 28.82% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.51% ( -0.12) |
| 34.78% ( -0.09) | 65.22% ( 0.09) |
| 15.95% ( -0.07) | 84.04% ( 0.07) |
| 68.91% ( 0.07) | 31.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0.09) | 67.41% ( -0.09) |
| 60.23% ( -0.23) | 39.76% ( 0.23) |
