Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
