Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
