Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
