Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
