Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
