Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
