SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Oleksandriya | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%).
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 36.91% | 25.24% | 37.85% |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% | 46.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% | 69.02% |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% | 24.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.59% | 59.41% |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% | 24.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.31% | 58.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 45 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 8 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 22 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 22 |
| 11 | Minai | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
| 12 | Veres | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 13 |
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