SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Chornomorets Odesa | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Lviv | 13 | -13 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%).
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 47.21% | 25.63% | 27.17% |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% | 51.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% | 73.45% |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% | 55.14% |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% | 33.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.65% | 70.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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