MX23RW : Wednesday, August 17 19:23:17
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Oct 30, 2021 at 12pm UK at Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Mariupol
2 - 3
Dynamo Kiev
Myshnyov (4' pen.), Klymenko (90+1')
Drambayev (11'), Shostak (70'), Kashchuk (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sydorchuk (6', 68'), Shaparenko (29')
Shaparenko (30'), Verbic (45+2')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawDynamo Kiev
10.73%17.01%72.27%
Both teams to score 48.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24%39.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88%62.12%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.11%45.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.36%81.64%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34%9.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.77%32.23%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 10.73%
    Dynamo Kiev 72.25%
    Draw 17.01%
MariupolDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 3.45%
2-1 @ 3.14%
2-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 10.73%
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 4.43%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 17.01%
0-2 @ 12.1%
0-1 @ 10.35%
0-3 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 9.43%
1-3 @ 7.35%
0-4 @ 5.52%
1-4 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-5 @ 2.58%
1-5 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.67%
0-6 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 72.25%

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