MX23RW : Saturday, May 21 19:32:33
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Dec 5, 2021 at 5.30pm UK at Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna
3 - 3
Mariupol
Arveladze (51'), Yurchenko (57'), Voloshyn (80')
Kalitvintsev (45'), Dombrovskyi (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kashchuk (29', 48' pen., 90+1')
Myshnyov (16'), Chekh (37')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mariupol has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline was Desna Chernihiv 1-0 Mariupol with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-1 (12.15%), 2-0 (9.54%), 2-1 (9.34%). The actual score line of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8%.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
50.26%25.64%24.1%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06%53.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61%75.38%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47%54.53%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.32%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 50.26%
    Mariupol 24.1%
    Draw 25.64%
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.1%

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Ukrainian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev1613214383541
2Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar1613214183341
3Dnipro-1Dnipro-116111429161334
4Vorskla PoltavaVorskla1694329171231
5Zorya LuhanskLuhansk1592434181629
6Desna ChernihivDesna167361822-424
7FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya156541513223
8Veres166461416-222
9Metalist Kharkiv166191626-1019
10Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka165381122-1118
11Rukh Lviv154471520-516
12FC LvivLviv164481223-1116
13Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets162591736-1911
14Minai161781125-1410
15Inhulets152491126-1510
16MariupolMariupol1621131838-207
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