Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Romania Under-19s had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Romania Under-19s win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy Under-19s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-19s.