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May 7, 2022 at 2pm UK at Stadio Olimpico
0 - 1

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')

Preview: Torino vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Torino vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

While their Scudetto challenge is effectively over, Napoli will seek to secure their grip on third place when they visit mid-table Torino on Saturday.

Following a thrashing of Sassuolo last week, the Partenopei are still one point ahead of old foes Juventus in the Serie A standings, while their hosts have remained unbeaten in six games to inch inside the top half.

Match preview

With the identity of Serie A's top four already decided, all that remains is the order in which the quartet of Calcio heavyweights will finish later this month - and the best position realistically available to Napoli is third, due to some recent stumbles.

After a late Empoli comeback all but ended hopes of a first title for three decades, Luciano Spalletti's side had good reason to take on Sassuolo last week with motivation at a low ebb.

However, they instead tore into the Emilians at a sparsely populated Stadio Maradona; going four goals up before the half-hour mark, Napoli ran out 6-1 winners at the final whistle - with five different goalscorers getting in on the act.

That victory keeps the Azzurri on track for a top-three place for the first time in three years; ending a winless run of three league games, in which they had only taken one point.

Undoubtedly, a major factor behind their decline has been several defensive lapses - particularly with regular right-back Giovanni Di Lorenzo spending time on the sidelines of late - and Napoli have now conceded in each of their last 11 league games.

Should they allow Torino to score on Saturday, Spalletti's men would post the club's longest run without a clean sheet in Serie A since the turn of the century; standing in stark contrast to the resilient unit that barely leaked a goal during the autumn.

Perhaps given their opponents' recent inconsistency, Torino might fancy their chances of taking maximum points this weekend, but recent precedent suggests they start as serious underdogs despite home advantage.

Il Toro's last league win against Napoli came back in March 2015, and they have lost both of the clubs' last two Serie A encounters without scoring a single goal.

Furthermore, Torino have gained only one point from their last six top-flight meetings with their Campanian counterparts in Turin, so they will instead turn to some improving form over the past month for inspiration.

Following a 3-1 win at Empoli last week, Ivan Juric's side are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches - both winning and drawing three times - and only leaders Milan are currently enjoying a longer run without defeat.

They now aim to post successive league victories for the first time since January, while keeping their noses in front of Sassuolo in the pursuit of a top-half finish.

Not renowned for their expansive approach, the Granata have rattled in nine goals in their last three outings - which also included a 4-4 thriller against Atalanta - and with star striker Andrea Belotti finally shrugging off fitness issues to net a hat-trick last time out, they appear to be finishing their campaign in some style.

Torino Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Napoli Serie A form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Team News

Having yet to work his way back into the starting lineup following a protracted spell on the sidelines, Andrea Belotti is set to lead the line for Torino on Saturday, following his quickfire treble against Empoli, which included two penalties and all came within 20 minutes of full time.

The Italy international has not scored against Napoli since September 2018 and has made six goalless appearances against them over the intervening period, but he is aiming to reach double figures for a seventh successive Serie A season - he currently sits on eight.

Fellow forward Antonio Sanabria is set to be ruled out again with a muscular injury, while loanee Pietro Pellegri is likely to make way for Belotti. Recently in good goalscoring form, Serbian midfielder Sasa Lukic is unavailable due to suspension; young Samuele Ricci could deputise.

Meanwhile, Napoli are hoping to have another midfield option available on Saturday, as Stanislav Lobotka returned to training this week, having been out of action since mid-April.

With a more or less fully fit squad, Luciano Spalletti is likely to name an unchanged starting XI, which would see the club's all-time record scorer Dries Mertens supporting in-demand Victor Osimhen up front.

Torino possible starting lineup:
Berisha; Izzo, Bremer, Rodriguez; Vojvoda, Pobega, Ricci, Singo; Brekalo, Praet; Belotti

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Ospina; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Koulibaly, Rui; Anguissa, Ruiz; Lozano, Mertens, Insigne; Osimhen

We say: Torino 1-2 Napoli

With the pressure off, Napoli appeared to revert to type last week, with players previously faltering under the huge weight of expectation seemingly at ease - particularly in the final third.

Torino are generally defensively sound, though, so expect a tightly-contested encounter in Turin, which the visitors should edge due to their greater individual quality in the creative department.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Torino has a probability of 26.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline is Torino 1-1 Napoli with a probability of 11.95% and the second most likely scoreline is Torino 0-1 Napoli with a probability of 11.03%.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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