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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
P
Santa Clara
3 - 1
Porto
Chindris (17'), Ricardinho (65'), Nene (90+6')
Sagna (12'), Fernandes (51'), Nene (57'), Mohebi (69'), Patric (90'), Allano (90+4'), Afonso (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taremi (83')
Vieira (72'), Otavio (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.08%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawPorto
12.58%20.11%67.31%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31%48.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19%70.81%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.63%48.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.5%83.5%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48%13.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43%40.57%
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 12.58%
    Porto 67.3%
    Draw 20.11%
Santa ClaraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.75%
2-1 @ 3.45%
2-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 12.58%
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 20.11%
0-2 @ 13.09%
0-1 @ 13.08%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 8.73%
1-3 @ 6.34%
0-4 @ 4.37%
1-4 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-5 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 67.3%

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