Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
