SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 13 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 2 | 54 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
56.12% ( 0.12) | 24.13% ( -0.14) | 19.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.57) | 52.57% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( 0.48) | 74.23% ( -0.48) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 0.26) | 18.59% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.13% ( 0.44) | 49.87% ( -0.43) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.35) | 41.12% ( -0.35) |
