SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Konyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
70.21% ( -0.55) | 17.94% ( 0.24) | 11.84% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.31) | 41.02% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.58% ( -0.32) | 63.41% ( 0.31) |
| Konyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( -0.23) | 10.5% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.5) | 34.16% ( 0.5) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.31) | 44.73% ( -0.32) |
