Although Fatih Karagumruk emerged victorious in the reverse fixture, we think that they will fall short on Saturday when they face an Istanbul Basaksehir side who usually fare well on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
