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Feb 5, 2022 at 10.30am UK at Gaziantep Arena
Gaziantep
5 - 1
Sivasspor
Djilobodji (6', 41'), Demir (12'), Maxim (70' pen.), Soyalp (76')
Demir (45+6'), Vetrih (61'), Kitsiou (80'), Sagal (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goutas (29')
Cofie (59'), Gradel (61'), Osmanpasa (86')
Yatabare (63')

We said: Gaziantep 2-0 Sivasspor

Having remained unbeaten at home so far this season, Gaziantep are favourites for this encounter and they should be able to find the back of the net a couple of times, as they have done so in their most recent home matches. Sivasspor will not make it easy for the hosts, and with both teams close in the table it suggests that Saturday's clash will be a tight affair, but Gaziantep are strong on their own patch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawSivasspor
37.79%26.5%35.71%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.68%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99%74.01%
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77%62.23%
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 37.79%
    Sivasspor 35.71%
    Draw 26.49%
GaziantepDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.71%

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Turkish Super Lig Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19143238142445
2Fenerbahce18122444212338
3Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul19114430201037
4BesiktasBesiktas18105334211335
5TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1910543025535
6Adana Demirspor1997337201734
7KonyasporKonyaspor186932418627
8KayserisporKayserispor198292827126
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor196763233-125
10Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk195774039122
11Giresunspor195681929-1021
12GaziantepGaziantep194782528-319
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu185492329-619
14KasimpasaKasimpasa1954102134-1319
15AntalyasporAntalyaspor1853102331-818
16SivassporSivasspor194692129-818
17Hatayspor184591533-1817
18Istanbulspor1943121840-2215
19UmraniyesporUmraniyespor1835102132-1114
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